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Calculated Risk (1,499 Links)
Created by
MyPropsMonkey
207 days ago in
Finance
. Views: 218. Link Views: 5,432
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Blog by a senior executive, retired from a public company, with a background in investing, finance and economics. This channel is automatically updated!
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"A number of banks" Suspend TARP Dividends
Posted by
MyPropsMonkey
151 days ago
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From the WSJ: Three Banks Suspend Their TARP Dividends (ht jb) Treasury spokeswoman Meg Reilly said Monday that "a number of banks" that got taxpayer-funded capital under TARP are no longer paying dividends to the government. ... "Here
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"After the Storm": No Immaculate Recovery
Posted by
MyPropsMonkey
50 days ago
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A couple late night articles: The Ylan Mui at the WaPo reviews the recent economic data: New Economic Reports Show We're Still Hurting (ht Ann) The fragile economic recovery has relied heavily on government stimulus spending, but new data show that as
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"Green Shoots Wilting"
Posted by
MyPropsMonkey
191 days ago
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A few excerpts from Economists React: ‘Green Shoots Withering’ in Retail We now have to expect flat consumption in April, which means there has been no net increase since January ... the freefall is over but shredded balance sheets and declining incomes
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"Precipitous" House Price Declines at the High End
Posted by
MyPropsMonkey
116 days ago
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From the Chicago Tribune: Luxury prices keep falling (ht Ann) Real estate agents say they have never seen prices drop so precipitously when dealing with opulent, often empty high-end homes along the North Shore ... "It is a phenomenon we've never
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"Substantial Doubt" Initial Filings
Posted by
MyPropsMonkey
133 days ago
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SEC data guy brings us some interesting data on SEC filings with companies expressing: "Substantial Doubt" Below is a graph that shows the total number of distinct entities filing a 10-K or 10-Q over time. It also shows the number of distinct
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"The Money Game"
Posted by
MyPropsMonkey
126 days ago
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Click on painting for larger image in new window. "The Money Game" Image posted with permission from Laguna Beach artist Scott Moore. This images is of a five foot by seven and a half foot oil painting. Scott posted a step-by-step
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$13.9 Trillion Total Maximum Government Support Announced
Posted by
MyPropsMonkey
157 days ago
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The FDIC released the Summer 2009 Supervisory Insights today. The report includes the following table showing all the government support announced in 2008 and soon thereafter. The maximum capacity is $13.9 trillion. I thought people would like to see
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'Cash for Clunkers' Rules Released
Posted by
MyPropsMonkey
119 days ago
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From the LA Times: 'Cash for clunkers' rules are released, sparking a rush The law creating the $1-billion program went into effect July 1, but many dealers were reluctant to participate until they got a look at the rules. The arrival of the 100-plus-page
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A Busy Day
Posted by
MyPropsMonkey
142 days ago
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A quick summary ... California starts issuing IOUs tomorrow. From the SacBee: Furlough Fridays back - now three days a month With California on the verge of issuing IOUs, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger moved to conserve cash Wednesday by ordering state
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A comment on Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke
Posted by
MyPropsMonkey
144 days ago
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Given all the recent attacks, I'd be remiss if I didn't write something about Bernanke, but first ... I've been a regular critic of Ben Bernanke. I thought he missed the housing and credit bubble when he was a member of the Fed Board of Governors from
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A comment on House Prices
Posted by
MyPropsMonkey
87 days ago
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I've seen story after story today suggesting the bottom is in for house prices. This isn't like 2005 when it was almost certain that prices would fall, and fall sharply. Now we are much closer to the bottom than to the top in prices (for some metrics,
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A comment on Option ARMs
Posted by
MyPropsMonkey
59 days ago
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The impact of Option ARM recasts is a huge question mark. Diana Olick at CNBC writes: ARM Payment Shock a Myth? We've been talking a lot recently about the "next wave" of foreclosures that would be driven by adjustable rate mortgage resets.
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A Comment on Seasonal Adjustments
Posted by
MyPropsMonkey
114 days ago
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What if I wrote that U.S. payroll employment increased by 383 thousand jobs in May 2009 following an increase of 259 thousand jobs in April 2009? Some readers would suspect CR had been captured by aliens or had visited crazytown. But, in fact, those
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A comment on Senators Cornyn and Schumer and the Housing Market
Posted by
MyPropsMonkey
46 days ago
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Senators John Cornyn and Charles Schumer appeared on ABC's 'This Week' with George Stephanopoulos and commented on the housing market: (CQ Transcript) Sen. John Cornyn , R-Texas: [Senator] Johnny Isakson of Georgia has been championing the -- the tax
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A comment on the Deficit and National Debt
Posted by
MyPropsMonkey
72 days ago
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There seems to more and more concern about the deficit and the increases in the National Debt. It is definitely scary, and I've been writing about this issue for a number of years. Back in late 2000 and in 2001 (I started this blog in January 2005) I
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A couple of Bullish Views
Posted by
MyPropsMonkey
61 days ago
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From James Grant in the WSJ: From Bear to Bull Knocked for a loop, we forget a truism. With regard to the recession that precedes the recovery, worse is subsequently better. The deeper the slump, the zippier the recovery. To quote a dissenter from the
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A CRE News Summary
Posted by
MyPropsMonkey
42 days ago
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Since this was a busy week for commercial real estate data. Here is a summary: From Bloomberg: U.S. Office Vacancies Reach Five-Year High of 16.5%, Reis Says Click on graph for larger image in new window. This graph shows the office vacancy rate
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A Few Comments on Housing Reports
Posted by
MyPropsMonkey
115 days ago
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This is very different for me ... First, if I've let a little hubris slip into my recent posts, I apologize. My goal is to be the most humble blogger in the world (an old joke). Second, I am not an investment advisor and I do not offer investment
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A Few House Price Forecasts
Posted by
MyPropsMonkey
21 hours 56 minutes ago
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From housing consultant Ivy Zelman commenting on the MBA Delinquency report in the NY Times U.S. Mortgage Delinquencies Reach a Record High"I’ve been pretty bearish on this big ugly pig stuck in the python and this cements my view that home prices
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A little Fed Preview
Posted by
MyPropsMonkey
100 days ago
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I just reread the previous Fed statement to refresh my mind on a few key sentences. Here is the statement from the June 24th meeting. On the Fed funds rate, I expect no change to this sentence: "The Committee will maintain the target range for the
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